L.A.’s Housing Market Surges

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L.A. homebuyers in August shrugged off increasingly dire warnings of an overheated housing market, driving prices higher while stepping up the pace of purchases.


The median price of an existing single-family home in Los Angeles County in August was $520,000, according to data provided by Melville, N.Y.-based HomeData Corp. That compares with $425,000 for the like period a year earlier and $515,000 in the previous month.


Meanwhile, the number of L.A. County home resales rose to 12,107, a 9.1 percent jump from the 11,094 homes sold in August 2004. August’s sales volume was up nearly one-third from the 9,294 homes that traded hands in July evidence that despite news reports warning of risky mortgages, overbuilding and speculation, buyers continue to be aggressive.


“People are quite anxious to take advantage of still-low interest rates,” said Stanley Smith, a senior vice president with Sotheby’s International Realty. “At the same time I wouldn’t call it frantic behavior. The appearance of a frenzy is really just a large number of buyers bidding on a limited number of homes for sale.”


Smith noted that interest rates on 30-year fixed mortgages continued to hold steady, and even fell compared to where they were last year. “Traditionally this is our slow time,” Smith said. “The fact that there has been this huge strength in the market belies the traditional market trend of slow sales in the summer.”


Assuming a 30-day escrow, most of the home sales that closed in August were based on buying decisions made in July. That’s when an intense period of media coverage was predicting a looming correction. Further, a Credit Suisse First Boston analyst’s report warned that public homebuilders were vulnerable to a bubble and raised concerns of overbuilding and the rising use of risky adjustable-rate loans.


Christopher Thornberg, a senior economist with UCLA’s Anderson Forecast, said it will take more than repeated warnings from Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and doom-and-gloom media coverage to change people’s behavior.


“Look at the stock market in 2000,” said Thornberg, who has warned of a housing bubble for nearly three years. “Economists were screaming from rooftops about a bubble and it didn’t deter anyone.”



*The full story will be available in the Sept. 12 edition of the Business Journal.

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